climate change predictions for three major american cities

Es­ti­mated reading time is 2 minutes.

EARLY OMENS OF OUR UN­STABLE FU­TURE can be dif­fi­cult to wrap our heads around. So Teen Vogue part­nered with the team at the non­profit news ser­vice Nexus Media, who de­vel­oped a time­line pre­dicting how cli­mate change could af­fect three major U.S. cities over the course of the 21st cen­tury. This led to the ar­ticle “What Cli­mate Change Will Do to Three Major Amer­ican Cities by 2100.”

Cli­mate change will look dif­ferent in dif­ferent places across the world, but we chose three places with dis­tinct ge­o­graphic con­cerns and cli­mate vul­ner­a­bil­i­ties to ground all the omi­nous sta­tis­tics and head­lines in a real sense of place: Houston, St. Louis, and San Francisco.

The ar­ticle looks at pro­jec­tions for each of the three cities over a se­ries of twenty-year pe­riods: 2020, 0240, 2060, 2080, ad 2100. It is based on RCP 8.5, the so-called “business-as-usual” emis­sions sce­nario that as­sumes that Earth will con­tinue to heavily rely on fossil fuels as the global economy grows.

As we are cur­rently doing vir­tu­ally nothing to stop cli­mate change, RCP 8.5 is a pretty good pre­dictor of what’s going to happen over the next couple of decades.

Here are sam­ples of their pro­jec­tions just for the tem­per­a­ture of the  three cities for 2100:


By the end of this cen­tury, tem­per­a­tures are ex­pected to have warmed close to eight de­grees Fahren­heit. In the summer, Houston will feel some­thing like Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, does today. High tem­per­a­tures will av­erage over 100 de­grees Fahren­heit during the warmest months.

St. Louis

By the end of this cen­tury, St. Louis is ex­pected to have warmed by roughly 11 de­grees Fahren­heit. Winter will scarcely look like winter. During the hottest months, it will be so scorching that it will be dan­gerous to go out­side for much of the day. 

San Francisco

San Fran­cisco will wit­ness rising sea levels, fierce wild­fires, and ex­treme drought. It is ex­pected to have heated up by more than eight de­grees Fahren­heit on av­erage. It will be hot and dry. The Sierra Nevada moun­tain range will see two thirds less snow than we see today, de­priving San Fran­cisco of a much-needed water source.

To read the ar­ticle in its en­tirety, click HERE.

By the end of this cen­tury, St. Louis will be so scorching that it will be dan­gerous to go out­side for much of the day! Share on X

GCC GoldenGate flooded 1500

FEA­TURED IMAGE: The image at the top of this page is a fan­tastic look into a pos­sible fu­ture for San Fran­cisco. It ap­pears that the beloved Golden Gate Bridge is on the verge of col­lapse as the towers in the back­ground look to be falling over. This image is ap­par­ently avail­able as com­puter wall­paper but I couldn’t find an artist or a title for it.



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